Horse racing has become a popular pastime for many people and can be a great way to make a profit. However, it can also be a risky investment if you don’t know how to pick the winners. One way to potentially increase your chances of winning is to look for outsiders in the field. Outsiders are horses with odds that greatly exceed their expected chance of success. Here we will discuss how to spot outsiders in horse racing.
What is an Outsider?
An outsider is a horse with much higher odds than its expected chance of success. In other words, it is a horse that the bookmakers believe has a lower chance of winning than the odds suggest.
Why Look for Outsiders?
There are several reasons why you should look for outsiders in horse racing. One of the main reasons is that it can potentially lead to increased profits. If you are able to successfully pick an outsider that goes on to win the race, you can make a significant profit. Additionally, outsiders can be a great way to hedge your bets. By backing an outsider with a small wager, you can potentially make a profit even if one of your other horses does not win the race.
How to Spot Outsiders
While there is no surefire way to spot an outsider, there are a few things you can look for that may indicate an outsider in the field. Here are some tips for spotting outsiders in horse racing:
1. Look at the Odds:
The first step to spotting outsiders is to look at the odds for each horse. Look for horses with odds that are much higher than their expected chance of success.
2. Look at the Recent Form:
Another important factor to consider is the horse’s recent form. If the horse has been performing poorly in recent races, it may be an outsider.
3. Look at the Horse’s History:
It is also important to look at the horse’s history. If the horse has been performing poorly for a prolonged period of time, it may be an outsider.
4. Look at the Jockey:
The jockey can also be an important factor to consider. If the horse is being ridden by a jockey who has a poor win rate, it may be an outsider.
5. Look at the Trainer:
The trainer of the horse can also be an important factor to consider. If the trainer is known for producing long-shot winners, it may be an outsider.
6. Compare the Odds:
It is also important to compare the odds of the horse to the odds of other horses in the race. If the horse’s odds are much higher than the other horses, it may be an outsider.
7. Compare the Horse’s Performance:
It is also important to compare the horse’s performance to other horses in the race. If the horse has been performing poorly compared to the other horses, it may be an outsider.
8. Look at the Horse’s Breeding:
It is also important to look at the horse’s breeding. If the horse is from a lesser known stable or from a less successful breeding line, it may be an outsider.
9. Look at the Track Conditions:
Finally, it is important to look at the track conditions. If the track is wet or muddy, it may be an outsider.
Spotting outsiders in horse racing can be a great way to potentially increase your chances of making a profit. By looking at the odds, recent form, jockey, trainer, and track conditions, you can potentially identify an outsider in the field. With a bit of luck and some careful research, you can potentially make a profit by backing an outsider in a horse race.